The three silliest predictions about computers and the
Internet
Being at the sharp end of IT support
in Bristol means we need to keep up with the rapid pace of
change in computer usage - both the technological side, and the
human side, i.e. user trends. Bizarrely, some of the figureheads of
the industry don't seem to be all that savvy when it comes to
trends. We've come across three statements from big bosses in the
tech world that were eyebrow-raisingly inaccurate considering who
said them. For your enjoyment, here they are so that you, with the
benefit of hindsight, can marvel at their silliness…
1. "There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their
home"
This was the opinion in 1977 of one Ken Olsen, the founder of
Digital Equipment Corporation - a company synonymous with mainframe
computer systems. Perhaps it's a classic case of 'inside out'
thinking: was he simply over-familiar with his customers' uses for
computing? But there's two ironies here: DEC had just started to
develop minicomputers for engineering, and Olsen himself had a
personal computer at home. For geek tasks only, we're sure.
2. "We'll never make a 32-bit system"
Bill Gates must have been suffering from a temporary limit to
his imagination when he made this odd declaration in 1989. Windows
made the transition from 8-bit to 16-bit around that time, and
guess what? The 32-bit Windows NT 3.1 was launched only four years
later, in 1993.
3. "Next Christmas the iPod will be dead, finished, gone,
kaput."
That Christmas came and went in 2006, and we think it's fair to
say the high profile business guru Sir Alan Sugar got that one
wrong. In fact, since he's a business adviser to the Government and
himself chairs an electronics company, wouldn't you suppose he'd be
a bit more clued up on electronics and business trends?